2025 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

These tables show the percent chance to end up with each pick after the lottery.
The last column shows the expected value, or average pick position, for each seed.
Scroll lower to see the base odds when no ties are included.

Current Odds With Ties Included

Positions resulting in a trade are highlighted in red. Not all trades (swaps) shown.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg
1 MIL	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	47.9										3.7
2 UTA	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	27.8	20.0									3.9
3 PHI	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	14.8	26.0	7.0								4.1
4 TOR	12.5	12.2	11.9	11.5	7.2	25.7	16.7	2.2							4.4
5 CHA	10.5	10.5	10.6	10.5	2.2	19.6	26.7	8.7	0.6						5.0
6 WAS	9.0	9.2	9.4	9.6		8.6	29.8	20.5	3.7	0.1					5.5
7 NO	7.5	7.8	8.1	8.5			19.7	34.1	12.9	1.3	>0.0				6.2
8 ATL	6.0	6.3	6.7	7.2				34.5	32.1	6.7	0.4	>0.0			7.0
9 POR	4.5	4.8	5.2	5.7					50.7	25.9	3.0	0.1	>0.0		8.0
10 DET	3.0	3.3	3.6	4.0						65.9	19.0	1.2	>0.0	>0.0	9.2
11 SA	2.0	2.2	2.4	2.8							77.6	12.6	0.4	>0.0	10.3
12 LAC	1.5	1.7	1.9	2.1								86.1	6.7	0.1	11.4
13 MEM	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.4									92.9	2.3	12.5
14 DEN	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7										97.6	13.7

Base Odds Without Ties

Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg
1	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	47.9										3.7
2	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	27.8	20.0									3.9
3	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	14.8	26.0	7.0								4.1
4	12.5	12.2	11.9	11.5	7.2	25.7	16.7	2.2							4.4
5	10.5	10.5	10.6	10.5	2.2	19.6	26.7	8.7	0.6						5.0
6	9.0	9.2	9.4	9.6		8.6	29.8	20.5	3.7	0.1					5.5
7	7.5	7.8	8.1	8.5			19.7	34.1	12.9	1.3	>0.0				6.2
8	6.0	6.3	6.7	7.2				34.5	32.1	6.7	0.4	>0.0			7.0
9	4.5	4.8	5.2	5.7					50.7	25.9	3.0	0.1	>0.0		8.0
10	3.0	3.3	3.6	4.0						65.9	19.0	1.2	>0.0	>0.0	9.2
11	2.0	2.2	2.4	2.8							77.6	12.6	0.4	>0.0	10.3
12	1.5	1.7	1.9	2.1								86.1	6.7	0.1	11.4
13	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.4									92.9	2.3	12.5
14	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7										97.6	13.7