2024 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

These tables show the percent chance to end up with each pick after the lottery.
The last column shows the expected value, or average pick position, for each seed.
Scroll lower to see the base odds when no ties are included.
Current Odds With Ties Included
Positions resulting in a trade are highlighted in red. Not all trades (swaps) shown.
Team1234567891011121314Avg
1
14.013.412.712.047.93.7
2
14.013.412.712.027.820.03.9
3
14.013.412.712.014.826.07.04.1
4
12.512.211.911.57.225.716.72.24.4
5
10.510.510.610.52.219.626.78.70.65.0
6
9.09.29.49.68.629.820.53.70.15.5
7
7.57.88.18.519.7
34.1
12.9
1.3
>0.0
6.2
8
6.0
6.3
6.7
7.2
34.5
32.1
6.7
0.4
>0.0
7.0
9
4.54.85.25.750.725.93.0
0.1
>0.0
8.0
10
3.03.33.64.065.919.01.2>0.0>0.09.2
11
2.02.22.42.877.6
12.6
0.4
>0.0
10.3
12
1.51.71.92.186.16.70.111.4
13
1.01.11.21.492.9
2.3
12.5
14
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.7
97.6
13.7
Base Odds Without Ties
Seed1234567891011121314Avg
114.013.412.712.047.93.7
214.013.412.712.027.820.03.9
314.013.412.712.014.826.07.04.1
412.512.211.911.57.225.716.72.24.4
510.510.510.610.52.219.626.78.70.65.0
69.09.29.49.68.629.820.53.70.15.5
77.57.88.18.519.734.112.91.3>0.06.2
86.06.36.77.234.532.16.70.4>0.07.0
94.54.85.25.750.725.93.00.1>0.08.0
103.03.33.64.065.919.01.2>0.0>0.09.2
112.02.22.42.877.612.60.4>0.010.3
121.51.71.92.186.16.70.111.4
131.01.11.21.492.92.312.5
140.50.60.60.797.613.7