2025 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

These tables show the percent chance to end up with each pick after the lottery.
The last column shows the expected value, or average pick position, for each seed.
Scroll lower to see the base odds when no ties are included.

Current Odds With Ties Included

Positions resulting in a trade are highlighted in red. Not all trades (swaps) shown.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg
1 TOR	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	47.9										3.7
2 MIL	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	27.8	20.0									3.9
3 WAS	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	14.8	26.0	7.0								4.1
4 UTA	12.5	12.2	11.9	11.5	7.2	25.7	16.7	2.2							4.4
5 PHI	10.5	10.5	10.6	10.5	2.2	19.6	26.7	8.7	0.6						5.0
6 NO	9.0	9.2	9.4	9.6		8.6	29.8	20.5	3.7	0.1					5.5
7 POR	7.5	7.8	8.1	8.5			19.7	34.1	12.9	1.3	>0.0				6.2
8 ATL	6.0	6.3	6.7	7.2				34.5	32.1	6.7	0.4	>0.0			7.0
9 DET	4.5	4.8	5.2	5.7					50.7	25.9	3.0	0.1	>0.0		8.0
10 CHI	3.0	3.3	3.6	4.0						65.9	19.0	1.2	>0.0	>0.0	9.2
11 SA	2.0	2.2	2.4	2.8							77.6	12.6	0.4	>0.0	10.3
12 DAL	1.5	1.7	1.9	2.1								86.1	6.7	0.1	11.4
13 LAC	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.4									92.9	2.3	12.5
14 SAC	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7										97.6	13.7

Base Odds Without Ties

Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg
1	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	47.9										3.7
2	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	27.8	20.0									3.9
3	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	14.8	26.0	7.0								4.1
4	12.5	12.2	11.9	11.5	7.2	25.7	16.7	2.2							4.4
5	10.5	10.5	10.6	10.5	2.2	19.6	26.7	8.7	0.6						5.0
6	9.0	9.2	9.4	9.6		8.6	29.8	20.5	3.7	0.1					5.5
7	7.5	7.8	8.1	8.5			19.7	34.1	12.9	1.3	>0.0				6.2
8	6.0	6.3	6.7	7.2				34.5	32.1	6.7	0.4	>0.0			7.0
9	4.5	4.8	5.2	5.7					50.7	25.9	3.0	0.1	>0.0		8.0
10	3.0	3.3	3.6	4.0						65.9	19.0	1.2	>0.0	>0.0	9.2
11	2.0	2.2	2.4	2.8							77.6	12.6	0.4	>0.0	10.3
12	1.5	1.7	1.9	2.1								86.1	6.7	0.1	11.4
13	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.4									92.9	2.3	12.5
14	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7										97.6	13.7