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2022 NHL Draft Lottery Odds

Lottery odds are an estimate until official 16-team odds are released.
NHL is also unclear about some scenarios in the new lottery rules in which a team can only jump 10 spots.
Team12345678910111213141516Avg
Arizona
25.718.755.62.3
Ottawa
12.113.632.242.23.0
Montreal
10.910.97.039.731.53.7
Seattle
9.79.913.743.623.14.4
Vancouver
8.58.821.644.416.85.2
NY Islanders
7.67.930.043.011.56.0
Chicago
6.77.039.7
39.1
7.4
6.8
Buffalo
5.86.249.434.04.67.7
Los Angeles
5.45.858.627.62.78.5
Detroit
4.54.867.721.51.49.5
San Jose
3.13.475.916.90.810.6
Philadelphia
3.22.581.712.30.411.6
Winnipeg
2.71.986.98.30.112.6
New Jersey
2.51.391.34.9>0.013.7
Dallas
2.10.895.02.114.7
Boston
1.60.597.915.8
Determining the NHL Draft Order
1
All teams missing the playoffs are in the Lottery
2
Teams with the least points get more chances at winning the Lottery
3
The 1st overall pick is awarded by a drawing of ping pong balls. A team can only jump ten spots, so only the top 11 teams are eligible for the 1st pick. If a team in the 12-16 range wins the first drawing, the first pick will remain with the worst team.
4
The 2nd overall pick is awarded by a drawing of ping pong balls. If a team in the 12-16 range won the first drawing, the worst team keeps the 1st pick and is excluded from the second drawing. Like the first drawing, the second winner can only jump ten spots.
5
Teams are only allowed to improve their positioning via the Lottery twice in a five year period (beginning with the 2022 Lottery).
6
Ties are broken by teams' total number of regulation wins (RW), regulation and non-shootout overtime wins (ROW), and then head-to-head if still tied
7
Playoff teams that did not win their divisions and did not make the conference finals, sorted by points, are assigned the next picks
8
Playoff teams that won their divisions and did not make the conference finals, sorted by points, are assigned the next picks
9
Conference finals losers sorted by points are assigned picks 29 and 30
10
Stanley Cup runner-up is assigned pick 31
11
Stanley Cup champion is assigned pick 32
12
Note: This site uses points-per-game instead of points to account for different number of games played between teams